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Will Jordan intervene militarily in Syria?

Kuwaiti Girl

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Jordanians question timing, messages of top military brass
Read more: http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/ori...al-syria-isis-iran-lebanon.html#ixzz4VMYIzpmA

Some of the points that Freihat had made in the interview are listed below:
  • The Karak terror cell had a large cache of arms and explosives, and it was probably planning for a major attack against civilian or military targets during Christmas celebrations in the kingdom.
  • Jordan is worried about the existence of Islamic State (IS) sleeper cells in two refugee camps near the Jordanian border with Syria, and is trying to relocate them further away from the border.
  • The number of Jordanians fighting with IS and Jabhat Fatah al-Sham (formerly Jabhat al-Nusra) is limited and may not exceed 300 members.
  • Jordan remains an active member of the international coalition fighting IS and continues to carry out air sorties, and there are military coordination cells with Syria and Iraq.
  • Jordan is concerned about the so-called Khalid Ibn al-Walid Army, which has pledged allegiance to IS, and which is located in the Yarmouk River basin and in some areas that are only 1 kilometer (0.6 mile) from the Jordanian border. It has heavy weapons including tanks and anti-aircraft guns and is a clear and present danger for Jordan.
  • Jordan has trained some elements in the Syrian opposition, namely the Tribes Army (made up of local tribes in the southern Syrian Badia region bordering the kingdom and part of the New Syria Army), to fight IS terrorists and not the Syrian regime; Jordan is coordinating with some elements in the Syrian opposition.
  • Jordan cannot open its borders with Syria because there are no regular Syrian regime troops on the other side, and also because the road to Damascus is not safe. But these borders will open once the Syrian army takes control of the border crossings.
  • Jordan continues to maintain diplomatic relations with the Syrian regime, and liaison officers on both sides remain in touch.
  • The most probable military scenario for the Syrian regime following the fall of eastern Aleppo is to focus its efforts on the south, including Wadi Barada and eastern Ghouta all the way to Daraa (on the Jordanian border).
  • There are worries that once IS loses Mosul, it will head toward Raqqa and from there to southern Syria and the Jordanian border.
  • Jordan is concerned about the behavior of the Popular Mobilization Units (the Iran-backed, Shiite-led militias in Iraq) and their advance toward Tal Afar (on the border with Syria), and from there into the heart of Syrian territory and all the way to Lebanon.
syria_jordan3.jpg
 
LOL and what will the intervention achieve? It is over. Russia and Assad are in firm control. Obama has been red faced and couldn't do a thing with his sandal wearing rebels. Don't expect anyone else to do anything about Syria anymore.
 
It's very likely sissy.
Jordan is Israel's boot licker.

You have no clue. Better to stay silent.

LOL We have already seen what has happened in Syria. It is better for you to hush up and not embarrass yourself. All these interventions and silly plans. They don't amount to anything expect more refugees and bloodshed.
 
LOL and what will the intervention achieve? It is over. Russia and Assad are in firm control. Obama has been red faced and couldn't do a thing with his sandal wearing rebels. Don't expect anyone else to do anything about Syria anymore.
I don't think Jordan cares too much about regime change in Damascus. From a strategic point of view, Jordan is probably more concerned about ISIS and/or PMU encroachment, in which case the Jordanian military might intervene in parts of southern Syria if Amman feels that its territorial integrity is in any way threatened by the increased presence of ISIS and/or PMU fighters near its borders.
 
Rivers of honey are flowing and everyone is singing hymns. That is what happened.
It was but before the civil war. Before wahabi ISIS interfered. Yeah Syria was a beautiful country under Assad, the archenemy of Israel.

I don't think Jordan cares too much about regime change in Damascus. From a strategic point of view, Jordan is probably more concerned about ISIS and/or PMU encroachment, in which case the Jordanian military might intervene in parts of southern Syria if Amman feels that its territorial integrity is in any way threatened by the increased presence of ISIS and/or PMU fighters near its borders.
I hope you are right and the promised Sufyani is not the king of Jordan. Although i'm sure that he is the same Sufyani ;)
 
It was but before the civil war. Before wahabi ISIS interfered. Yeah Syria was a beautiful country under Assad, the archenemy of Israel.

Every side has their own narrative.

Wahabbi ISIS didn't fall from sky. It came from the region to Syria. We also know who further stoked the fire and that is what I'm trying to get at. Thinking that Syria can be saved now by intervention from any country is wishful thinking. Syria is beyond recovery. Syria has become another Iraq. Torn apart with different factions. That's the bitter truth.

Yes, let Assad figure it out.
 
Every side has their own narrative.

Wahabbi ISIS didn't fall from sky. It came from the region to Syria. We also know who further stoked the fire and that is what I'm trying to get at. Thinking that Syria can be saved now by intervention from any country is wishful thinking. Syria is beyond recovery. Syria has become another Iraq. Torn apart with different factions. That's the bitter truth.

Yes, let Assad figure it out.
Read this buddy:
Actually ISIS came from sky :woot: :lol:
Which European countries have produced the most ISIS fighters?
  • Email


While the Middle East remains the most dominant source of ISIS fighters, about a fifth of all foreign fighters in Iraq and Syria now come from Western Europe, according to the International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation and Political Violence (ICSR). Of those, Europe's largest countries have technically produced the most fighters. The ICSR estimates that France, for example, has sent 1,200 people to Sunni militant organizations in Iraq and Syria; and that both the United Kingdom and Germany have each contributed somewhere between 500 and 600 people. Larger populations, larger numbers of fighters ... that stands to reason. The countries that produce the most ISIS fighters per capita, however, are a bit more surprising.

isis-fighter.png

An ISIS militant is pictured in a recruitment video.
YOUTUBE
Belgium, for example, now has more citizens fighting in Iraq and Syria per capita than any other European country (40 for every million people). In fact, the total number of fighters the ICSR estimates Belgium has sent overseas (440) is not far behind the numbers of much larger countries like the U.K. and Germany. The next two European countries with the most foreign fighters are equally surprising: Denmark (with 27 fighters for every million people) and Sweden (with 19). Are these figures indicative of larger problems? Are they clues to thwarting the next horrific attack? The ICSR's full list, as of January 2015, is below.

Country Estimate Per capita
Belgium 440 40
Denmark 100-150 27
Sweden 150-180 19
France 1,200 18
Austria 100-150 17
Netherlands 200-250 14.5
Finland 50-70 13
Norway 60 12
United Kingdom 500-600 9.5
Germany 500-600 7.5
Ireland 30 7
Switzerland 40 5
Spain 50-100 2
Italy 80 1.5
 
Read this buddy:
Actually ISIS came from sky :woot: :lol:
Which European countries have produced the most ISIS fighters?
  • Email


While the Middle East remains the most dominant source of ISIS fighters, about a fifth of all foreign fighters in Iraq and Syria now come from Western Europe, according to the International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation and Political Violence (ICSR). Of those, Europe's largest countries have technically produced the most fighters. The ICSR estimates that France, for example, has sent 1,200 people to Sunni militant organizations in Iraq and Syria; and that both the United Kingdom and Germany have each contributed somewhere between 500 and 600 people. Larger populations, larger numbers of fighters ... that stands to reason. The countries that produce the most ISIS fighters per capita, however, are a bit more surprising.

isis-fighter.png

An ISIS militant is pictured in a recruitment video.
YOUTUBE
Belgium, for example, now has more citizens fighting in Iraq and Syria per capita than any other European country (40 for every million people). In fact, the total number of fighters the ICSR estimates Belgium has sent overseas (440) is not far behind the numbers of much larger countries like the U.K. and Germany. The next two European countries with the most foreign fighters are equally surprising: Denmark (with 27 fighters for every million people) and Sweden (with 19). Are these figures indicative of larger problems? Are they clues to thwarting the next horrific attack? The ICSR's full list, as of January 2015, is below.

Country Estimate Per capita
Belgium 440 40
Denmark 100-150 27
Sweden 150-180 19
France 1,200 18
Austria 100-150 17
Netherlands 200-250 14.5
Finland 50-70 13
Norway 60 12
United Kingdom 500-600 9.5
Germany 500-600 7.5
Ireland 30 7
Switzerland 40 5
Spain 50-100 2
Italy 80 1.5

LOL That's no secret to me or anyone. Wahabbi ideology drives these nutters from all nooks.

Despite the foreign element, much of the mess can attributed to infighting and across the region.
 
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Thinking that Syria can be saved now by intervention from any country is wishful thinking. Syria is beyond recovery. That's the bitter truth.
That's definitely not what I was suggesting, by the way.

I think the Jordanian military might decide to intervene in southern Syria if Amman feels that its territorial integrity is threatened by the presence of ISIS and/or Iraqi Shia fighters near its borders.

That's definitely the suggestion that the Jordanian leadership seems to be making these days, by the way.

A Jordanian military intervention in Syria mustn't be overlooked, especially if ISIS continues making inroads into southern and eastern Syria on the back of its recent victory in Palmyra. The situation will also be exacerbated by the potential ground invasion of eastern Syria by Iraqi PMU forces, which will no doubt worry Amman and force the Jordanians to make their move.

Therefore, a potential Jordanian military intervention in Syria won't be for the purpose of overthrowing al-Assad as much as it would be for the purpose of expanding Jordan's sphere of influence into the Syrian desert region by force.
 
That's definitely not what I was suggesting, by the way.

I think the Jordanian military might decide to intervene in southern Syria if Amman feels that its territorial integrity is threatened by the presence of ISIS and/or Iraqi Shia fighters near its borders.

That's definitely the suggestion that the Jordanian leadership seems to be making these days, by the way.

A Jordanian military intervention in Syria mustn't be overlooked, especially if ISIS continues making inroads into southern and eastern Syria on the back of its recent victory in Palmyra. The situation will also be exacerbated by the potential ground invasion of eastern Syria by Iraqi PMU forces, which will no doubt worry Amman and force the Jordanians to make their move.

Therefore, a potential Jordanian military intervention in Syria won't be for the purpose of overthrowing al-Assad as much as it would be for the purpose of expanding Jordan's sphere of influence into the Syrian desert region by force.

In other words, the mess has no ending. This is all shortsighted thinking. Countries surrounding Syria are looking after their own security without uniting and addressing the core issue. Everyone knows what the core issue is.
 

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