Vietnam ruling Communist Party chief Trong re-elected for third term

[Song Hong]

Tran Quoc Vuong, someone touted by western media as strong candidate to be head of state was out.

His successor was Trần Cẩm Tú, although the transition has taken place 3 years ago. In short, Western think tank has no clue of Vietnam power dynamics.

 

[Song Hong]

I am more favorable of Pham Minh Chinh being the next top leader. He is the boss of the all powerful Trưởng ban Tổ chức Trung ương since 2016 and after current party election, he will remain in this post up to 2026. This will allow him to consolidate incredible amount of power in the party.

In 2026, Pham will be 68, three years pass retirement, and it depends whether the various power poles of Vietnam allows him an age waiver for him to be the party boss. If this is the case, he will be the MOST powerful leader since Le Duan.

Also this person is from the North.

 

[Song Hong]

Big favorite of western think tank for leadership contender, Nguyen Xuan Phuc and Nguyen Thi Kim Ngan, me thinks they dont stand a chance.

Nguyen Thi Kim Ngan never have a solid power base, and from the South. Nguyen Xuan Phuc is from South (or we call South Center).

Nevertheless Mr Phuc remains as the PM until 2026.

 

[Han-Tang]

no matter who be the leader, that's OK, stabilization and development are best.
look at Myanmar， they're going to be in chaos for a while.