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Tarbela and Mangla will die soon

chharoonahmad

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Jul 26, 2010
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Hi

I was reading this article which says Mangla and Tarbela dams will die soon.

Article: Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan

What does it really mean? I understand that their maximum water holding capacity would decrease and as a result electricity output will also decrease but that does not necessarily mean that they would die. Please help me with this. Thanks.
 
‘Mangla and Tarbela dams will die in 40 years’

* Tarbela Dam director says Pakistan has no option but to make new dams

Staff Report

LAHORE: Tarbela Dam director and former chief technical advisor to the UN, Bashir A Malik, told Daily Times that the Mangla and Tarbela dams would likely loose their lives and maximum storage capacities in the next four decades, leaving the country with no option but to built new dams in order to avoid power and water crises.

Malik said that the Tarbela Dam would likely ‘die’ by 2030 and the Mangla Dam by 2070. He said that the water storage capacity of these dams was decreasing everyday because of the increasing in them. He said the current power crisis in the country, particularly in Karachi would increase manifold in the next 10 years. He added that though the life of dams was short and the increasing silt in dams was a threat to their water storage capacities, Pakistan had no other option, especially after signing the Indus Water treaty.

Malik said that currently, the country’s power generation capacity was more than 700 megawatts and its deficit was around 1,500MW. He said that the country’s population was increasing at a rate of more than 2 percent every year and at this rate, it would be impossible to cater to the country’s increasing power needs. He said that besides the Kalabagh Dam and smaller dams in the NWPF, the government should also consider the Kohala Hydel Scheme at River Jhelum, which could help generate around 4,500 KW of electricity everyday. He said Pakistan had the capacity to generate around 30,000 MW through hydro power plants and with this step, the country could save water and generate power at the same time. He said Pakistan should beware of any agreement like the Indus Water Treaty.

Malik is also the writer of Indus Water Treaty in Retrospect, which provides detailed information about the Indus Water Treaty.

Punjab Water Council secretary general Ibadur Rehman Khan told Daily Times that the country’s dams were losing their storage capacity at a rate of one percent a year due to the increasing silt and by the next 10 to 15 years, there would be a severe water shortage in the country in case new dams were not built. He said that if the Kalabagh Dam was built till 2015, the already available dams would have lost most of their storage capacities. He said the establishment of Kalabagh Dam was essential because it would establish the dams available now. He said the Kalabagh Dam would have a lifetime of 450 years.

He said that even the country’s wheat and cotton crops were largely dependent on rains because there was a lack of water. He said that the current crop was not a bumper crop because enough water was not available through tube wells.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
we need to work on at least three dams ASAP, i read somewhere that work is underway on one 4000 MW dam and feasibility studies and surveys going on for two more 3500 MW+ dams, to be completed aroung 2020.

Feasibility studies going on for dasaut, thakot, patan and bunji which are of 2800 MW, 2800 MW, 3280 MW and belive it or not, according to multiple sources bunji dam of 7100 MW:what::victory::bounce:!!!!!!!!!,,,,,OMG. We should get some help from China which has some experience from three gorges dam.
 
we need to work on at least three dams ASAP, i read somewhere that work is underway on one 4000 MW dam and feasibility studies and surveys going on for two more 3500 MW+ dams, to be completed aroung 2020.

That would be Diamer Bhasha dam
 
Just like the case of those spy pigeons and monkeys trained by ISI?

The think I'm saying has a very real chance of happening if the silt is not removed and consequently the storage of both the dams reduces.

You know that as well as me. Already once the floods were blamed on us ,"willingly releasing the extra water to flood Pakistan".
 
The think I'm saying has a very real chance of happening if the silt is not removed and consequently the storage of both the dams reduces.

You know that as well as me. Already once the floods were blamed on us ,"willingly releasing the extra water to flood Pakistan".

There was a UN funded forest cultivation program in Northern Pakistan called @Watershed@...It went on for many years and millions of trees were planted on the hills and mountains to prevent soil erosion due to rain...It did make an impact and hills went green..and silt was lowers than normal levels in the indus..

Dont know what happened of the project..If its still going on or not..
 
The think I'm saying has a very real chance of happening if the silt is not removed and consequently the storage of both the dams reduces.

You know that as well as me. Already once the floods were blamed on us ,"willingly releasing the extra water to flood Pakistan".

The thing that you are saying may have a real chance of happening. But the thing that I'm mentioning has actually happened... No?
 

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