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Newly confident Bangladesh to flag off Development Forum

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https://www.thedailystar.net/business/news/newly-confident-bangladesh-flag-development-forum-1859947

12:00 AM, January 28, 2020 / LAST MODIFIED: 12:00 AM, January 28, 2020
Newly confident Bangladesh to flag off Development Forum
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Rejaul Karim Byron

There was a time when Bangladeshi finance ministers would land in Paris with a briefcase in hand to seek financial assistance from donors.

It was a custom then that a poor country like Bangladesh will only beg for money and wealthy foreign nations would make commitments in Paris Consortium Meetings.

But things have changed. They are no more a donor. They are now development partners who come here to take part in the Bangladesh Development Forum (BDF) only to discuss strategies to materialise future development plans.


This year, the two-day forum will start tomorrow at the Bangabandhu International Conference Centre in Dhaka. Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina is scheduled to open the show, said Monowar Ahmed, secretary of the Economic Relations Division, at a press briefing at the NEC auditorium in the capital yesterday.

The last Paris Consortium Meeting, organised by the World Bank, was held in 2005. The meetings used to be presided over by the WB’s vice-president and Bangladesh’s finance minister.

The donors used to make commitments on how much they will give as financial help in the meetings, Ahmed said.

The process to extend assistance in this way was changed in 2005 as per recommendation of the Paris Declaration.

In the following two years, donors made commitments along with some conditions in events, which were called Poverty Reduction Strategy Forum.

In 2010, BDF began. Since then three BDFs took place, while the last one was organised in January 2018.

“No commitments are made now. Discussions are held on policies and programmes. Donors give suggestions. Leadership and ownership of the meetings have also changed,” Ahmed said.

Bangladesh received commitments worth $1.27 billion in fiscal 2004-05. The amount has increased to $6 billion to $7 billion in the last few years, and in last fiscal year the committed amount hit $9.8 billion.

The amount of unused foreign aid in the pipeline stood at $48.11 billion as of July 1, 2019.


The goal of this year’s BDF is partnering for sustainable development. The main plan will be highlighting the eighth Five-Year Plan to foreign donors, Ahmed said.

The country is nearing the end of implementing its seventh Five-Year Plan; steps have been initiated for formulating the next course of action: the eighth Five-Year Plan.

This year’s meeting will review what the effects of the previous plans and decide what will get priority in the upcoming plans, he said.

“How much financing the eighth Five-Year Plan will be needed will also be presented in the meeting.”

While Bangladesh has already met all the criteria for graduation back in March 2018, the UN triennial review of 2021 will very likely lead the country to graduate officially from the least-developed country bracket in 2024.

BDF 2020 is also important for Bangladesh because of its future economic graduation, he said, adding that graduation will not make foreign aids costlier as the donors set the loan interest based on per capita income.

This year’s meeting is dedicated in honour of Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, as the nation is now taking preparation to celebrate the birth centenary of the Father of the Nation in 2020.

Eight sessions will be organised this year. One will be held to explore what reform measures Bangladesh needs to undertake to improve its investment climate and strengthen institutions that support the private sector as a means of improving competitiveness to attract both domestic and foreign investment.

This session will also attempt to identify appropriate policy options for trade facilitation and export diversification in light of Bangladesh’s LDC graduation.

One of the sessions will address how Bangladesh can innovate financing sources and mechanism through piloting new financing models.

The private sector may play a significant role in advancing towards the Sustainable Development Goals and contributing towards a smooth and sustainable LDC graduation.

This year, some 40 representatives of different development partners will join the BDF, including Junichi Yamada, senior vice-president of JICA; Hartwig Schafer, vice-president for the South Asian region of the World Bank; and Shixin Chen, vice-president of the Asian Development Bank.
 
Okay. Lol. Its like saying company gets loan based on revenue not on profit. Good luck if you believe in that strategy if you are a money lender.

You think you know more than S&P about how they work out credit rating? They clearly state that relatively low per capita income is one of the main reasons that BD rating is still BB-. Once it gets much higher middle of this decade, BD will probably move up to where India is now.

ok please tell me why Indonesia is at BBB despite the fact that their revenue to gdp is almost the same as BD. I will listen carefully to your reasoning.
 
You think you know more than S&P about how they work out credit rating? They clearly state that relatively low per capita income is one of the main reasons that BD rating is still BB-. Once it gets much higher middle of this decade, BD will probably move up to where India is now.

ok please tell me why Indonesia is at BBB despite the fact that their revenue to gdp is almost the same as BD. I will listen carefully to your reasoning.
Because their GDP is high enough to manage the loan servicing at 1.12 trillion. Which is not the case with Bangladesh. Even then, their public debt is only 33%. If you have meager revenue resources, you cannot go beyond that. Please refrain from picking up bit points here and there to argue.
 
Because their GDP is high enough to manage the loan servicing at 1.12 trillion. Which is not the case with Bangladesh. Even then, their public debt is only 33%. If you have meager revenue resources, you cannot go beyond that. Please refrain from picking up bit points here and there to argue.

Yes as per capita is high at 4000 US dollars.
All forecasts predict BD to hit 6-7000 US dollars per capita by 2030 with 1.5 trillion dollar economy.
No reason BD credit rating should not be at least BBB by 2030 and higher if BD succeeds in raising revenue to gdp.
There you actually agree with me but do not realise it!
BD public debt is also similar to Indonesia.
 
Yes as per capita is high at 4000 US dollars.
All forecasts predict BD to hit 6-7000 US dollars per capita by 2030 with 1.5 trillion dollar economy.
No reason BD credit rating should not be at least BBB by 2030 and higher if BD succeeds in raising revenue to gdp.
There you actually agree with me but do not realise it!
BD public debt is also similar to Indonesia.

I have asked you to not talk in future tense. Talk in present tense. You seem to be taken shine to the shonar bangla future as if it is already here today. Its not. With improved per capita you might get better loan terms (that too depends on your budget spending) but you cannot raise it beyond in terms of ratio than what it is today with such meager revenues.
 
I have asked you to not talk in future tense. Talk in present tense. You seem to be taken shine to the shonar bangla future as if it is already here today. Its not. With improved per capita you might get better loan terms (that too depends on your budget spending) but you cannot raise it beyond in terms of ratio than what it is today with such meager revenues.

Do you have comprehension and analytical problem?

You have just agreed that Indonesia has such good rating as it has high per capita income( hence GDP)despite the fact it has similar to revenue to gdp ratio as BD.

Stop contradicting yourself dude and much rather listen to CEBR that predicts 2 trillion US dollar BD economy in 2034 than a random poster on pdf.
 
Do you have comprehension and analytical problem?

You have just agreed that Indonesia has such good rating as it has high per capita income( hence GDP)despite the fact it has similar to revenue to gdp ratio as BD.

Stop contradicting yourself dude and much rather listen to CEBR that predicts 2 trillion US dollar BD economy in 2034 than a random poster on pdf.

No I didn't agree. I said depending on how they are spending their revenue in their budget, they get their rating. Look at their budget balance. They are in surplus. Which is why they get better credit rating. Gosh.

Screenshot_20200128-175027_Chrome.jpg


2034? That's 14 years off from here. There were several similar research reports that predicted China to cross USA by 2025. You don't see that happening. They also predicted India to cross USA by 2040. Things change. Bengali miyas are not smart enough understand this I suppose.
 
2034? That's 14 years off from here. There were several similar research reports that predicted China to cross USA by 2025. You don't see that happening. They also predicted India to cross USA by 2040. Things change. Bengali miyas are not smart enough understand this I suppose.


China will still surpass USA by 2031 on latest estimates. 6 years off and the main reason is that China is deliberately keeping Yuan value low for political and economic reasons.
India was hyped by West for geopolitical reasons and everyone with brain knew India could not do it.
What was India’s average growth rate in 2010s? - 7% when they predicted 8-9%.
BD has consistently grown around 0.5-1% quicker than say IMF predictions.
BD’s exports just rebounded upwards in December 2019 and new economic forecast says it will hit 7.8% gdp growth this fiscal.
 
China will still surpass USA by 2031 on latest estimates. 6 years off and the main reason is that China is deliberately keeping Yuan value low for political and economic reasons.
India was hyped by West for geopolitical reasons and everyone with brain knew India could not do it.
What was India’s average growth rate in 2010s? - 7% when they predicted 8-9%.
BD has consistently grown around 0.5-1% quicker than say IMF predictions.
BD’s exports just rebounded upwards in December 2019 and new economic forecast says it will hit 7.8% gdp growth this fiscal.
When you accomplish it then come and boast. Right now it is pretty embarassing to listen to you.
 
this is not boasting but debate on how credit rating is worked out in case you were not aware.
Please re read my post#9. For any doubts.

Also this.

However, Bangladesh’s exports earning during July-December of the current fiscal year have registered a 5.84% negative growth to $19.30 billion, which was $20.50 billion in the same period of the previous fiscal year.
 
yes that is right for first 6 months as a whole of this fiscal but December 2019 exports were higher than December 2018 and so the downward trend in exports finally stopped.
So export decline 5 months out of 6 is not a trend but one month raise by 2% (by few million) is the trend. Great.
 

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