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Generator sales decline amid improving power supply

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KARACHI: The demand for power generators remained depressed this season owing to steep price hike on account of rupee devaluation and improvement in electricity supply across the country, said dealers of power machines.

They also cited diminishing buying power of consumers amid rising inflation taking its toll on overall sales volume. Also the frequent rise in petrol, diesel and gas prices has made it infeasible for many to rely on these machines for electricity, they added.

“Generator market has no buyers in this year’s summer season,” owner of Sikandar and Co, Sikandar Shahzada said, attributing the lull in demand for generators to 40 per cent hike in prices.

“The overall market sentiments have been depressed this year amid weak purchasing power of consumers triggered by high food inflation,” he added.

President Site Association of Industry (SAI) Saleem Parekh said demand for generators in the Site industrial area remained subdued on the back of improving power supply from K-Electric.

He said most of the production units are already equipped with power generators which they did not utilise due to improved power supply during the season.

Pakistan Machinery Merchants Group President Khurram Saigal said generator prices have risen by 30pc in the last twelve months due to rupee depreciation.

“Portable generator sales for households and shops have plummeted by 75pc in the summer season,” he said adding that load shedding in many areas had disappeared, while people are gradually shifting towards solar energy options. However, it is hard to operate portable generators now in view of high diesel, petrol and gas prices.

“If the load shedding is going on in low-income group areas then people cannot buy generators due to their low buying power,” he said.

He claimed that power supply situation has also improved in Punjab after start of new power generation plants. Punjab had remained a very big market for generators.

Khurram said an average quality Chinese 2.5KVA generator now costs Rs35,000-36,000 as compared to Rs25,000-26,000 a year back while a branded Chinese brand now sells for Rs50,000-55,000 as against Rs40,000.

As per data published by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, imports of power generating machines during the last fiscal year decreased by 52.6pc to $1.262 billion.

However, Saigal said demand for big power generators of 25KVA to 100KVA capacity still exists as they are being rented out for big events as a stand-by arrangement.

He said sales may remain depressed in case power supply in the country improves further.

Besides, working environment after the budget 2019-20 is getting from bad to worse owing to CNIC condition and other taxation measures which is likely to dent the demand further.

He said the government has done nothing to provide relief to consumers.

F.B. Area Association of Trade and Industry President Khursheed Ahmed said power supply in the area has slightly improved during the last year, resulting in massive decline in the unannounced load shedding of longer duration and pushing down demand for generators in the area.

As per the Economic Survey 2018-19, during July-March FY19, the country’s electricity generation capacity increased to 34,282MW compared to 33,433MW in corresponding period last year.

Although electricity generation varies due to availability of inputs and other constraints, the generation increased from 82,011GWh to 84,680GWh; a growth of 2.1pc during the period.

Currently, thermal occupies largest share in the country’s total electricity generation mix.

On the other hand, RLNG’s tremendous growth in energy mix has helped meet demand at various power plants including Bhikki, Haveli Bahadur Shah, Balloki, Halmore, Orient, Rousch, KAPCO, Saif and Sapphire in addition to meeting the demand from fertilizer plants, industrial and transport sector.

The increase in the share of industry in electricity consumption is a positive sign showing revival of industry which was suffering earlier due to load shedding, the economic survey said.

Published in Dawn, July 21st, 2019
 
Besides, working environment after the budget 2019-20 is getting from bad to worse owing to CNIC condition and other taxation measures which is likely to dent the demand further.

He said the government has done nothing to provide relief to consumers.

I guess no load shedding is now a crime according to this individual. No relief? no load shedding is a relief. Wrong business to invest all your eggs in buddy. Sooner or later things were going to get better and demand for buying generators would have gone down with time eventually...

As per the Economic Survey 2018-19, during July-March FY19, the country’s electricity generation capacity increased to 34,282MW compared to 33,433MW in corresponding period last year.

What I am confused is, if the generation capacity only increased by a 1000 MW, why were we having such hard load-shedding last year at this time?
 
I guess no load shedding is now a crime according to this individual. No relief? no load shedding is a relief. Wrong business to invest all your eggs in buddy. Sooner or later things were going to get better and demand for buying generators would have gone down with time eventually...



What I am confused is, if the generation capacity only increased by a 1000 MW, why were we having such hard load-shedding last year at this time?
More curbs on loss making feeders, theft and better transmission. It's all on Omar Ayub's twitter account.
 
If you check Roshan Pakistan app, they are giving information about losses and return vs supply to a particular area..More losses from an area results in more load shedding.Where I live, there is 92 % return and 2 hours/ day load shedding.
 
Because in last few years Pakistan installed power plants which are generating 11000 MW and many power plants including Coal Nuclear Hydro Solar RLNG Wind are still under Construction
 
The article to me represents the worst mentality of Pakistanis.
They don't want things to change, they don't want to work in the free market.

In normal countries you don't have companies cry and complain when their is no longer demand for their products.

Look at Black berry, they went from owning the mobile market to being non existent in less then 5 years. They never went and cried to the government.
 
I was wondering, Doesn't have the most irrigation system in the world? My grand mother's village used to have this river that would irrigate all the fields. Couldn't they jerry rig a hydro system and create power? and then use solar instead of gas generators to pump water via tube wells.
Honestly I think the world is going to go to mini-power plants with solar/hydro/wind to power most homes. Solar is so cheap now and it is going to get cheaper.
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What I am confused is, if the generation capacity only increased by a 1000 MW, why were we having such hard load-shedding last year at this time?

Problem is no longer generation but outdated transmission system and theft. Now government is focusing in these two areas and not building new plants. My guess is in few years load shedding will end in big cities after transmission system is upgraded.

Now there is enough generation but government still can't provide interrupted electricity to areas where recovery is near 100%.
 
In my area in Karachi, there are seldom breakdowns of electricity, or load shedding.. in many areas, this is the case.. but in some areas, there's too much load shedding.
 
I was wondering, Doesn't have the most irrigation system in the world? My grand mother's village used to have this river that would irrigate all the fields. Couldn't they jerry rig a hydro system and create power? and then use solar instead of gas generators to pump water via tube wells.
Honestly I think the world is going to go to mini-power plants with solar/hydro/wind to power most homes. Solar is so cheap now and it is going to get cheaper.
View attachment 570624

Siltation and frequent floods makes these kind of hydro unfeasible.also water level is not constant Pakistan.

Small Hydro/solar projects are only feasible for smaller communities without acces to national grid.
Small projects cannot produce enough electricity for the grid as line loss/production by small projects is bad.
Small projects may look cheap and easy to built in the short term but stacking cost over a long peroid of time shows that it is mote expensive and more skilled staff needed to work on it.
 
Siltation and frequent floods makes these kind of hydro unfeasible.also water level is not constant Pakistan.

Small Hydro/solar projects are only feasible for smaller communities without acces to national grid.
Small projects cannot produce enough electricity for the grid as line loss/production by small projects is bad.
Small projects may look cheap and easy to built in the short term but stacking cost over a long peroid of time shows that it is mote expensive and more skilled staff needed to work on it.

Yeah that's true about the water levels but even flooding should not happen. The government should work on a solution to manage water properly. Not just from an economic point of view but also from a health perspective. Stagnant water leads to numerous diseases and then if sewage gets mixed into the drinking supply then.. you know the hep A,B,E becomes an issue.
In the past the government generates power from fossil fuels like expensive oil. So, I think Pakistan would benefit from at least investing in renewable energy even if it is at the smaller scale like rural areas. If you just look at the price of solar power it has drastically gone down. If the government incentives small business and homes to install solar power in their system then costs would go down and accessibility would go up. I think as battery technology gets better you will see solar become a no brainer.
 
Problem is no longer generation but outdated transmission system and theft. Now government is focusing in these two areas and not building new plants. My guess is in few years load shedding will end in big cities after transmission system is upgraded.

Now there is enough generation but government still can't provide interrupted electricity to areas where recovery is near 100%.

IPP contracts are coming to an end soon and government is not going to renew. That will have a significant impact on prices as we are currently grounding a lot of excess and contractually can't make IPP reduce supply either. Fixed supply and $ payment - once these contracts expire then expect rapid improvement.
 

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