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Bangladesh: The economic miracle of the year

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Polemicist
Bangladesh: The economic miracle of the year

By Hindol Sengupta
December 31, 2019 at 4:04 PM
If you wanted to pick a swiftly growing economy in 2020 in Asia, which one would you instinctively select?

Well, if you were on the ball, you would zero in on Bangladesh which has been forecast to grow at 8% in 2020 which would make it, in the coming year, most likely Asia’s fastest growing economy. It is now growing at a faster clip than India. One of its core strengths is working women. Bangladesh beats every other South Asian nation in gender equality.

As 2019 comes to an end, it is therefore befitting to spend a little time understanding what has gone into the transition that Bangladesh is undergoing. The first thing to note is the country’s sustained, low-key but diligent investment in primary education. Even more importantly, a large proportion of this money went towards the primary education of girls.

If there is one mantra for developmental success it might be this: Educate girls. The World Bank, which has given around $29 billion to Bangladesh in assistance and interest-free credit to help its development, has noted the country is that rare example among developing nations of a place where gender parity has been achieved in primary education. This means an approximately equal number of boys and girls receive the same quality of primary education in Bangladesh.

This has led to more women entering the workforce in the manufacturing sector; 80% or more of the organised textile jobs are held by women. A 2014 National Bureau of Economic Research by Rachael Heath and Mushfiq Mobarak discovered that there was a distinct connection between the education of women and them getting factory jobs especially in textiles, and further growth in education. It was, in a sense, a virtuous cycle. They found that “the manufacturing sector growth in Bangladesh had sizeable effects on parents’ propensity to keep younger girls in school, older girls’ propensity to engage in wage work, and both of these factors allowed women to postpone marriage and childbirth”.

The paper said that the garment manufacturing industry in Bangladesh had played a definitive role in the betterment of women’s lives for more than four decades. “Fertility has dropped from 5.9 children per woman in 1983 to 2.3 births per woman in 2009 (World Development Indicators), and woman’s average age at marriage has risen from 14.6 for marriages between 1980 and 1985 to 17.0 for marriages between 2005 and 2009 (Demographic and Health Survey). Moreover, Bangladesh attained gender parity in school enrolment fifteen years before the Millennium Development Goals deadline for achieving this outcome,” the paper said. It added that data showed that “villages within commuting distance to garment factories, exposure to these jobs led to a 38.6 percentage point increase in school enrolment rates”. Beginning in the 1970s, the Bangladeshi garment industry has now grown to around $30 billion size. The services sector is ballooning too—microfinance and computing bring in more than 50% of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) these days.

Getting good primary education, especially for girls, has had an additional benefit of starting to manage better, and bring down, Bangladesh’s large, and densely packed, population. Population growth has stopped exploding, in fact it has started to fall, and between 2010 and 2018, the number of employed workers living under the poverty line declined by around 60%.

Once infamous for power cuts, Bangladesh has become a surplus power-generating country. It also exports around $1 billion worth of tech products and services every year. This is likely to jump by five times by 2021.

In five years, according to many several estimates, Bangladesh will escape the Least Developed Country tag which, when it happens, will be a breakthrough moment for the country.

One of the less discussed but vitally important ingredients of this growth has been Bangladesh’s Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s efforts to contain and, where possible dismantle, the network of Islamist radicals that continues to plague the country. Hasina’s commitment to keeping the most radical elements from gaining strength has kept alive the Bangladeshi dream to become a prosperous nation. The next five years might well be a Bangladeshi dream run.

www.fortuneindia.com/amp/story/polemicist%252Fbangladesh-the-economic-miracle-of-the-year%252F103950
 
It will be miracle if bd can grow 8 percent till 2040. Just because its 8 percent for only 2 years is not miracle...wtf is wrong with ppl keep saying nonsense. If hasina say something like this it will make sense since she is a retard.
 
BD is harvesting its demography dividend. Politicians had little to do with it.

BD has enough scope to grow.... can it maintain 8% growth rate...possibly....its been consistently growing since the mid 70s... would not be surprised if BD achieves double digit growth if IT sector takes off.

We started from a low base and we are nowhere near capacity.
 
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BD is harvesting its demography dividend. Politicians had little to do with it.

BD has enough scope to grow.... can it maintain 8% growth rate...possibly....its been consistently growing since the mid 70s... would not be surprised if BD achieves double digit growth if IT sector takes off.

We started from a low base and we are nowhere near capacity.

People who say Politicians performed our miracle are so off the mark - like everywhere else, it is the private sector (apparel sector) and civil society (NGO's) that enabled the change (gender parity in education, earnings and healthcare which raised HDI levels and lowered the population/fertility rates) - then of course politicians claimed credit. You can credit politicians with one thing, that is not standing in the way. They did not.

Takeoff of IT sector in Bangladesh is only a question of time. Electronics, Pharma and Shipbuilding are also prime candidates now that a lot of the structural govt. reforms are done and continue to be made.

While this is happening - we need to spread the word, and in Chinese, Japanese and Korean with their investors. 'Brand Bangladesh' is not as ubiquitous yet as we want it to be.

But - a word of warning to pay heed to.

Lot of nascent economic miracles ran afoul and short of 100%. Case in point is Turkey and most recently, India, for different reasons.

In case of Turkey, it was excessive private borrowing to buy expensive infra (bridges etc.) pegged to foreign currencies. In India, they had built the service sector and the hoped growth never arrived (jobless growth, no manufacturing boom).

We have to steer clear of these pitfalls/landmines and take lessons from them.
 
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People who say Politicians performed our miracle are so off the mark - like everywhere else, it is the private sector (apparel sector) and civil society (NGO's) that enabled the change (gender parity in education, earnings and healthcare which raised HDI levels and lowered the population/fertility rates) - then of course politicians claimed credit. You can credit politicians with one thing, that is not standing in the way. They did not.

Takeoff of IT sector in Bangladesh is only a question of time. Electronics, Pharma and Shipbuilding are also prime candidates now that a lot of the structural govt. reforms are done and continue to be made.

While this is happening - we need to spread the word, and in Chinese, Japanese and Korean with their investors. 'Brand Bangladesh' is not as ubiquitous yet as we want it to be.

But - a word of warning to pay heed to.

Lot of nascent economic miracles ran afoul and short of 100%. Case in point is Turkey and most recently, India, for different reasons.

In case of Turkey, it was excessive private borrowing to buy expensive infra (bridges etc.) pegged to foreign currencies. In India, they had built the service sector and the hoped growth never arrived (jobless growth, no manufacturing boom).

We have to steer clear of these pitfalls/landmines and take lessons from them.
You are completely wrong.
 
People who say Politicians performed our miracle are so off the mark - like everywhere else, it is the private sector (apparel sector) and civil society (NGO's) that enabled the change (gender parity in education, earnings and healthcare which raised HDI levels and lowered the population/fertility rates) - then of course politicians claimed credit. You can credit politicians with one thing, that is not standing in the way. They did not.

Takeoff of IT sector in Bangladesh is only a question of time. Electronics, Pharma and Shipbuilding are also prime candidates now that a lot of the structural govt. reforms are done and continue to be made.

While this is happening - we need to spread the word, and in Chinese, Japanese and Korean with their investors. 'Brand Bangladesh' is not as ubiquitous yet as we want it to be.

But - a word of warning to pay heed to.

Lot of nascent economic miracles ran afoul and short of 100%. Case in point is Turkey and most recently, India, for different reasons.

In case of Turkey, it was excessive private borrowing to buy expensive infra (bridges etc.) pegged to foreign currencies. In India, they had built the service sector and the hoped growth never arrived (jobless growth, no manufacturing boom).

We have to steer clear of these pitfalls/landmines and take lessons from them.

BD is not following either Turkish or Indian models of growth.
Saying that at least Turkey has tech.
 

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