"Afghanistan will collapse into civil war when western troops fall out"
We all know that very well... Afghan people doesn't know, how can they live in peace? They got used to fight since very long. If they cant fight against others, they will fight each-others...
I have no hope for them....
The problem is, that country has always been considered a backyard rather than a country. With Pakistan's obsession of making it "a virtual part" of Pakistan, their unrelenting support to Taliban and other ruthless groups in the country, development, peace, infrastructure, education etc is simply not possible.
While that happens, Pakistan conveniently blames NATO for Afghanistan's and its own miseries without accepting its own miscalculations:
- Even post USSR withdrawal, under the "great" Talibunnies, Afghanistan was like the 7th century Arabia with no education, no proper cropping, no technology, no development, no medical industry and in fact, no industry at all. Taliban flourished under the blessing of Pakistani military generals who thought they could use them as a bullwark against us to offset a direct confrontation in future and the troubles that would bring along. It failed miserably.
- Pakistan's eagerness to fight the Russians in a war that had absolutely nothing to do with Pakistan at all. Without seeing the long term benefit of neutrality in global conflicts, Pakistan launched into the frenzy of fighting a war that was not even its own. By talibanizing Afghanistan, it not only earned the Russian grudge but also earned Afghan people's blistering anger, thereby making another block against itself.
These two points, which started with the second point, is the cause of current crisis in Afghanistan and Pakistan's common region.