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12b lost as crucial LNG shipment cancelled

This has absolutely, positively nothing to do with Federal government this decision was taken by PPL, PPL said that Sui Northern Gas Pipeline Limited (SNGPL) does not need the LNG shipment right now. My personal opinion these are political appointees paying of daddy!!

All of the companies you mentioned are government owned ones. The government is responsible for this mess and no one else.
 
Check karo ghar mei gas arahi hie? ager haan tou roo nahi abhi

PTI is federal government running unopposed and overrules provincial governments like PMLN with its limitation in Punjab due to main establishment and PPP in Sindh.

PTI has the main authority over Pakistan. Always maintained that it is ready to take over and be responsible for the nation. Even ready to be taken as accountable if it failed to deliver the expectation. Don’t make u-turn here. :disagree:
 
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To all of those that think their patreon is the best, for the country's sake, for once just put the nation first. Think about Pakistan first before approaching to any conclusions, be a pakistani act like a Pakistani.
 
Every LNG contract sign minimum 3 months before delivery ....so guess who did this adventure . Once production start it never cancel
 
Before we start calling everyone in GOP an idiot for incurring Rs12-billion loss to the economy; has anyone tried to find out the reasons behind what appears to be an absurd decision?

No sane person would deny that LNG is cheaper, cleaner and more efficient fuel for power generation than fuel oil (Furnace oil in Pak lingo). However, Pakistan has a long established petroleum refining industry where products such as diesel, motor gasoline, jet fuel, and LPG are produced which are vital for the Pakistan economy as well as defense.

In my earlier post on LNG under the thread

https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/some-questions-for-shahid-khakan-abassi.591464/page-2#post-11032790

I had mentioned that

“In my opinion, Shahid Khaqan's decision to replace furnace oil by LNG was a right one as from all points of view LNG is a cheaper option and far better for the environment but it was also taken without due safeguards for Pakistan’s refinery sector.”

I had also given the link to the news that refineries fear a shut-down.

All refineries in Pakistan (Except Parco) are hydro-skimming units, roughly 40% of the crude feed produces fuel oil. Because the end users are switching over to gas/LNG refineries are reaching ‘tank top’ situation; that means that there is no space available to store the fuel oil resulting from the crude processing. In such cases refinery would have to shut down but this would also mean that no motor gasoline, diesel or jet fuel will be produced causing a serious setback to the country’s economy.

The correct policy would be to make power plants to burn fuel oil (as was happening before the import of LNG) and only after the locally generated fuel oil has been used up, imported LNG should be used. GOP has finally decided on this simple and straightforward strategy, which should have been implemented before the first LNG
shipment was imported.

In my opinion, the claim of Rs 12-billion loss to the economy is also based on farcical presumptions. I was previously accused by Hon Samlee for going bonkers due to old age, I am sure someone will accuse me of something similar this time too.

Regardless of my mental state, the rationale behind the delaying the LNG shipment is to safeguard Pakistan’s refining industry and avoid gasoline, diesel & jet fuel shortage resulting from it. How much would be the loss then?

Problem is that as a nation we are never happy. We blame the Shahid Khaqan Abbasi for signing Qatari contract to alleviate the gas shortage, but when PTI gov’t orders delay in the LNG shipment, we cry blue murder again. In both the cases, decisions were the right ones.

However, these are my countrymen and I am one of them.

For the record, here is an article from an international petroleum publication.

  • 30 Nov 2018 | 08:17 UTC
  • Karachi
Analysis: Pakistan oil refineries fear shutdown on rising fuel oil stocks


Karachi — Pakistan oil refineries have warned the ministry of energy that rising fuel oil inventories, driven by the government's shift to LNG-based power generation, could result in imminent refining shutdowns and a nation-wide shortage of other oil products, especially gasoline and jet fuel.

Fuel oil supply chain disruptions are certainly not new to Pakistan. An abrupt decrease in fuel oil orders from power plants in late 2017 led to a rapid rise in stocks at import terminals and domestic refineries, delaying deliveries of imported cargoes and disrupting operations of domestic producers.

Consumption is unlikely to recover, as the electricity feedstock landscape continues its switch to gas facilitated by exponential growth in LNG imports, which are expected to increase from 4.9 million mt of LNG in 2017 to nearly 24 million mt/year by 2023, according to S&P Global Platts Analytics.

So far this year, the situation has forced refiners to lower throughput to an average of 60-70%, and could result in imminent shutdowns within the next 10-15 days, according to separate letters sent by the Oil Companies Advisory Council, Pak Arab Refinery (Parco), Attock Refinery, National Refinery and Pakistan Refinery to the ministry of energy in late November.

Refiners have proposed a minimum mandatory offtake of 10,000 mt/day of fuel oil by the country's oil marketing companies, versus an average demand of 3,285 mt/day over the period November 1-21, 2018.

GLUT WORSENED BY IMPORTS

The supply glut has been worsened by fuel oil imports, despite a new energy committee, headed by the minister for energy, having been constituted a year ago, to approve fuel oil imports and monitor output from domestic refineries.

Pakistan imported nearly 150,000 mt of fuel oil in October and received another cargo of 68,153 mt November 18, an oil analyst said.

"It is beyond comprehension why fuel oil was imported when even local refineries were finding it hard to sell local production", he said.

The decision to constitute the new energy committee was made in December 2017, when the most recent fuel oil supply glut forced the country's state-owned importer Pakistan State Oil to defer multiple cargoes for November-January deliveries, Platts reported at the time.

'SERIOUS PRODUCTS SHORTAGE'

"A refinery shutdown would have serious ramifications", said Parco. It would break the product supply chain, resulting in a serious shortage of motor gasoline, supply cuts of JP-1 and JP-8 to airports and disruptions in local crude oil waste disposal, the refiner's letter said.

Parco, a joint venture between the governments of Pakistan and Abu Dhabi, is operating at 65%, "technically its lowest operating level and is heading for a shutdown if fuel oil offtake by OMCs does not increase immediately," said Managing Director Tariq Rizavi said in a separate letter to director general (oil) of energy ministry.

The refinery produces around 160,000 mt of diesel, 75,000 mt of motor gasoline and about 30,000 mt of jet fuel for Pakistan International Airlines and Pakistan Air force every year. It would be difficult to replace these quantities with imported volumes if unplanned shutdowns were to occur, it said.

-- Haris Zamir, newsdesk@spglobal.com

https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/...eries-fear-shutdown-on-rising-fuel-oil-stocks
 
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Pakistan imported nearly 150,000 mt of fuel oil in October and received another cargo of 68,153 mt November 18, an oil analyst said.

That's 100million $ worth self defeating import in a month when forex reserve is all time low !!!
 
"Our refineries can't produce enough furnace oil?
What would happen to small furnace based power plants and kilns[/QUOTE]

Currently, there is a glut of furnace oil. Local production is more than enough for small kilns, cotton ginners & sugar mills. Conversion of power plants from burning furnace oil to gas is very easy.

Most existing burner assemblies can be modified to add natural gas without necessitating a full burner replacement, thus allowing co-firing capability with the original fuel (coal and/or oil). The payback for the modification is often very short, a matter of a few weeks at most

Due to the absence of sulfur, atomic nitrogen, and ash, natural gas combustion produces significantly fewer emissions of NOx, CO, sulfur compounds, and particulates than coal or fuel oil.
 
The common man has nothing to do with the Govt decisions but their impact is important for general public. The fact is general public is suffering much now than past and Govt high ranking officials have only one mission which is accountability which has brought almost nothing so far and are not doing their proper jobs for which general public majority has voted. The only good gesture is by IK to establish rest places for workers/laborers in cities along with complaint portal.

No gas is available at least in many areas of Islamabad and also in my city. Hope IK will not fail his supporters like past.
 
Obviously to create artificial shortage and then price hikes. Government should take notice.
this thing has been discussed to death by me and others here back in 2017

Issue is simple ..all refineries in Pakistan are low grade /outdated and have no idea what to do with furnace oil produced that produced as by product. Furnace oil is further cracked in modern refinery (not in Pakistan ) PMLN govt as well as oil mafia knew that this needs to be fixed but both did nothing ..

If govt imports LNG(for power plants) refineries will close as they will have surplus furnace oil.and govt will have to import refined oil..its rock and wall situation ..

Latest news suggest that govt has decided to import LNG

  • in PakistanOn December 27, 2018
Govt decides to ban import of furnace oil
* The Ministry of Petroleum told to submit detailed plan on reduction of losses due to the unaccounted for gas * PM Imran inaugurates shelter home in Islamabad
 

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